HEPAP Meeting

HEPAP is now meeting in Washington, presentations available here. Like the rest of science, HEP has been doing very well in the federal budget, including a temporary increase due to the stimulus program. Excluding stimulus money, the president’s FY2011 request has total DOE HEP funding up 2.3% (theory is up 3.8%) over FY2010. This is about 10% over the FY2007 level. At the NSF, the proposal is for a 2.8% increase in physics research spending in FY2011, up 20% since FY 2007.

The NSF will be funding several “Physics Frontier Centers”, with five-year renewable awards of 1-5.5 million $. Pre-proposals are due in August.

The DOE has been emphasizing Early Career Programs, with 14 “Early Career Awards” to tenure-track physicists made in HEP in FY1010. Six of these went to HEP theorists, pretty much all in phenomenology, with funding for string theorists not popular these days it seems.

With the particle theory job market a complete disaster, particle theorists somehow managed to convince the DOE that the answer to the problem is to produce more particle theory Ph.Ds. There is a new program of HEP Theory Fellowships funding (with two-year fellowships) an additional five students this year, five more each year in the future. So I guess, steady-state, the idea is to add 10 more theory Ph.D.s/year, into a job market where the total number of permanent jobs/year is about 10.

Update: Science magazine has a story here about budgetary problems of the DUSEL project.

Posted in Experimental HEP News | 15 Comments

LHC Update

There’s now a tentative date set for first high energy (3.5 TeV/beam) collisions at the LHC: it’s March 30th.

Posted in Experimental HEP News | 3 Comments

Strings 2010

Strings 2010, this year’s version of the big annual string theory conference, will be held next week in College Station, Texas. There’s a university press release about this here. Normally the conference is held in the summer at places like Rome, Madrid, Paris, Kyoto, etc. and attracts about 4-500 string theorists. This year’s time and location may keep attendance down (although College Station is a lot cheaper place to stay than Rome…).

Unlike most years, there have been no promotional public lectures arranged. It also appears that there is no summary talk scheduled. In recent years, these have often been given by David Gross (who won’t be talking this year) or by Robbert Dijkgraaf (who is busy with another project, video here, for which he might want to recruit help from fellow string theorist Lubos Motl). Many of the talk titles are now available. In the past, sometimes the hot topic was mathematical and mathematicians were in attendance, but this has no longer been true for a while now. This year the hot topic is condensed matter physics, with several talks scheduled on attempts to apply AdS/CFT techniques to superconductors.

It turns out I’m going to be relatively nearby, but a week later, giving a talk for the public the evening of March 24th at Collin College in Plano.

Starting up this week and continuing through May, the KITP is hosting a string phenomenology program entitled Strings at the LHC and in the Early Universe. The program blurb somehow neglects to mention that string theory doesn’t actually predict anything at all about LHC physics or cosmology. To get a good idea of the topics that researchers in this field are discussing, online talks are here, starting with two rather general discussion sessions, one led by Blumenhagen, the second by Ovrut. As far as connecting to real physics goes, the state of the art seems to be much like it was a quarter century ago, with people struggling to find ways to come up with string theory-motivated constructions that are not in obvious disagreement with experiment. To achieve this requires going to ever more complicated models, which often contain various particles not in the Standard Model. In terms of making LHC predictions, one has no idea if this is a good or bad thing.

Update: The Strings 2010 talks will be web-cast. There’s now a participant list. With 192 participants, this will be the smallest Strings XXXX conference in many years.

Posted in Strings 2XXX | 5 Comments

Short Items

  • Bill Thurston teams up with Issey Miyake for their fall ready-to-wear collection based on the Geometrization Conjecture (via Quomodocumque). Youtube video here.
  • Why String Theorists Should Switch Fields to Quantum Computing.
  • This month’s AMS Notices has an interview with last year’s Abel Prize winner, Mikhail Gromov. This year’s Abel prize will be announced March 24, see here for the committee making the choice. Also to be announced soon is the winner of another million dollar prize, the Templeton Prize.
  • Yet more string theory in popular culture.
  • From UT Austin, various interesting new lectures in their GRASP series. These include a nice expository talk by David Ben-Zvi on the Fundamental Lemma. Ngo is lecturing about this weekly here at Columbia. In the fall he will move to Chicago and take up a permanent position there.
  • This year’s Talbot workshop will be on one of my favorite topics, Twisted K-theory and Loop Groups. At MIT there’s a preparatory seminar here, and a page for the workshop here.
  • This has been mentioned here before, but one can’t stop marveling at the Math Overflow phenomenon.
  • There’s an interesting interview with Alan Sokal here.
  • Update: Some helpfully just pointed me to this review of a new novel by Ian McEwan in which

    characters mention M-theory, Nambu Lie 3-algebra and coincident M2-branes

    Looks like something I’ll have to read when it comes out here in a couple weeks.

    Posted in Uncategorized | 8 Comments

    Top Cites 2009

    Travis Brooks of SLAC’s SPIRES database has a blog posting today announcing the availability of various lists of the high energy physics papers most heavily cited during 2009. A full matrix of links to this data is here, data broken out by arXiv subfield is here.

    It’s hard to over-emphasize how much the particle theory parts of these lists are dominated by classic papers on AdS/CFT, in particular Maldacena’s original 1997 paper. It now has over 6600 citations and during the next year or so should pass Weinberg’s 1967 paper as the most heavily cited particle physics paper of all time. One remarkable thing about this paper is that in recent years the number of citations of it has increased to new highs, reaching 731/year in 2008. Even at the height of theoretical activity surrounding the Standard Model back during the late 1970s, none of the classic papers of that subject (such as Weinberg’s) reached even half the citation rate of the Maldacena paper. Similarly, during the explosion of interest in string theory after 1984, none of the papers from the first superstring revolution reached half the Maldacena rate.

    Among the top 25 entries in the 2009 overall top-cite list, the leading theory papers are 97-98 AdS/CFT classics at positions 3, 8 and 9, as well as Randall-Sundrum extra dimension papers from 1999 at 14 and 20. Among the top 50 entries, there are only two hep-th papers that are not from the last millennium: at number 33 one of the papers on superconformal Chern-Simons/supergravity duality, and Horava’s Lorentz-breaking gravity proposal at number 38 (there’s a very recent article about this at FQXI).

    Looking just at the articles cited in hep-th during 2009, gauge-gravity duality is again completely dominant. The top 3 are AdS(5)/CFT(4) classics , the rest of the top 9 are about the lower dimensional AdS(4)/CFT(3) case (except for an AdS/CFT review article). To find something not about gauge-gravity duality, one has to go down to number 10, the KKLT paper that set off the landscape craze.

    Taking a look at recent hep-th lists of postings, there seems to be no let-up in the AdS/CFT dominance. The only recent paper on another topic that seems likely to make the top ten of the 2010 listings is Erik Verlinde’s January paper on entropic gravity, which two months later already has 40 citations.

    Posted in Uncategorized | 16 Comments

    First Hint That the Multiverse Really Exists

    Multiverse mania rolls along, with New Scientist this week running a cover story entitled Touching the Multiverse. They advertise the story by claiming that “we reveal the first hint that the multiverse really exists”.

    It turns out that this is a promotional effort for the work of Raphael Bousso, with the first hint that multiverse really exists a paper of his from more than 3 years ago that purports to “predict” the observed value of the cosmological constant. This in some way improves on Weinberg’s 1987 anthropic argument, which to this day remains about the only piece of evidence backing up multiverse mania. The New Scientist article also reports on his more recent attempts to better justify the 3 year-old calculation with this decade’s buzz-word (“entropic principle”) as well as that of the last decade (“holographic”).

    Posted in Multiverse Mania | 30 Comments

    LHC Update

    Beam commissioning has started for 2010, with beam back in the LHC starting early Sunday morning. The plan is for roughly a month until colliding beams at 3.5 TeV/beam.

    For the latest news, see here and here.

    Update: Please, everyone, stop e-mailing me and posting comments here with the “news” (e.g. here or here) that the LHC will shutdown for a year or more in the future to fix bad splices. This is not news, it was announced by CERN back in January (see here).

    Posted in Experimental HEP News | 5 Comments

    The Quants

    The third book I recently read that has some math or physics content is Wall Street Journal reporter Scott Patterson’s The Quants: How a New Breed of Math Whizzes Conquered Wall Street and Nearly Destroyed It. It’s a very lively and entertaining telling of a story which features quite a few mathematicians who have gone on to make (and then sometimes lose) absurd amounts of money using mathematical models to try and exploit market inefficiencies. Jim Simons and his large group of mathematicians and other Ph.D.s at Renaissance play a significant role, and among other mathematicians who make an appearance is Neil Chriss, co-author of Representation Theory and Complex Geometry, one of the most well-known books on geometric representation theory (now available as a “Birkhauser Classic”).

    Patterson’s story emphasizes heavily the relationship to gambling. He writes extensively about Ed Thorp, who developed the theory of card-counting, did well with this at casinos, then moved on to the hedge fund business. Just about everyone profiled in Patterson’s book is described as having read and been inspired by Thorp’s 1962 book on card-counting (Beat the Dealer). Many of them are serious poker players, and the book opens by describing the scene at the one of the recent Wall Street Poker Night Tournaments. These are yearly events (Chriss and Simons are among the organizers) that bring together quants and professional poker players to play high-stakes poker, with proceeds donated to Math for America.

    The subtitle of the book puts the blame for the financial crisis on this kind of activity, but there’s not much evidence given to justify this. Most of the book is about various hedge funds, and the stories of failure are pretty much the same old story of Long Term Capital Management’s failure back in 1998. Finding some sort of market inefficiency and exploiting it tends to work for a while, but sooner or later either others start doing the same thing or patterns change, sometimes very quickly. If one has gotten greedy and started using too high levels of leverage, one can get in trouble fast. The best-run hedge funds (for instance, Renaissance) managed to stay out of trouble, others didn’t. How much of a public problem all this is remains unclear. To a large extent the failures just lead to some rich people (and universities like Harvard) becoming less rich, while some hedge-fund owners and employees see their income go down but get to keep the fees earned while they were taking too much risk. It’s very clear why a lot of mathematicians and physicists go into this.

    None of this though seems to have had a determining part in the disastrous financial crisis of recent years and its ongoing effects. The book has little to say about a more significant failure that involved a different group of quants, those responsible for the bad mathematical models used to justify the mortage securitization business. From what I can tell, there the story is that if there’s a lot of money to be made creating a financial instrument carrying large risks obscured by complexity, it’s not hard to find people willing to help you sell it by creating bad mathematical models of its behavior.

    The story of The Quants is a remarkable one, whether or not the people described have some responsibility for the current state of the financial industry and the dangers still embedded in it. While reading the book I couldn’t help thinking that it would be a good idea if the best of them would play a little less poker and take on another pro bono task, that of coming up with a good understanding of the current pathologies of the financial system, and models useful in the task of figuring out how to change it to something more socially desirable.

    Posted in Book Reviews | 24 Comments

    The Edge of Physics

    The second book about physics or math that I finished reading recently is Anil Ananthaswamy’s The Edge of Physics: A Journey to Unlock the Secrets of the Universe. The author has a blog devoted to the topic of the book, as well as a web-site, which includes some wonderful photos of the experiments discussed.

    The bulk of the book is devoted to the author’s description of his travels to visit experimental projects around the world devoted to learning more about cosmology, particle physics, dark matter and dark energy. These include CDMS at the Soudan Mine in Minnesota, the Lake Baikal neutrino telescope in Siberia, the Very Large Telescope at Cerro Parranal in Chile, Mauna Kea in Hawaii, the Square Kilometer Array in South Africa, BESS at McMurdo Bay and IceCube at the South Pole in Antarctica, as well as the LHC and Planck satellite. Ananthaswamy is a quite good writer, and does an excellent job of describing the settings of the experiments and what they are trying to measure, as well as the scientists who are working on them.

    Unfortunately though, he doesn’t stick to the impressive experimental story going on, but wraps everything in a heavy dose of string theory/multiverse hype. None of the experiments he visited actually are capable of saying anything about string theory or the question of whether or not there is a multiverse. Most of them are investigating subjects like dark matter, which are of great potential interest, but have nothing at all to do with string theory or the multiverse. The only one for which there have been claims of such relevance are cosmological measurements of the spatial curvature of the universe, with Susskind claiming a prediction of the sign (but not the magnitude, experimentally it seems to be zero). This “prediction” actually doesn’t work, see this paper.

    It’s too bad that among the string theorists Ananthaswamy interviewed, none included the many prominent ones such as Gross or Witten, or pretty much anyone at Princeton (see for example the book by Gubser reviewed in the previous posting) who could have explained to him the actual situation. So, if you’re interested in what’s going on at the experimental frontiers of this subject, this is a good book to read, as long as you skip all the parts about theory…

    Update: Ananthaswamy describes here how decided to deal with the problem of writing about experiments, yet wanting to address string theory.

    Posted in Book Reviews | 2 Comments

    The Little Book of String Theory

    Back from New Orleans, and there are now three books I’ve read recently that I’ll try and write reviews of. The first is The Little Book of String Theory, by Princeton’s Steve Gubser. The author has a web-site for the book here, and the introduction is available.

    While trying to cover a huge amount of complicated material, the book is quite short, with 162 pages of text, in a small format. Gubser has chosen to deal in a radical manner with the problem of deciding whose work to reference, and whose name to mention in connection with various discoveries. There are no footnotes or end-notes, no bibliography of any kind, and no mention of the names of any string theorists, or any living physicists at all for that matter. The history of the subject pretty much only appears in a few of Gubser’s comments about early parts of his own career.

    To somehow counterbalance its main focus on a highly sketchy treatment of an intricate and very abstract subject, the book periodically introduces some very concrete and explicit numerical computations, starting with a first chapter devoted to explaining in detail the equation E=mc2. Unfortunately, none of these calculations have anything at all to do with the topic of the book, string theory. The central section of the book, about branes and duality, contains no such concrete calculations, but instead largely consists of page-long paragraphs recounting in words the intricate structures that occur in this subject. I find it hard to believe that anyone not already familiar with this topic will get much out of this kind of discussion.

    Gubser intensively uses analogy to try and convey some understanding of the material, and has a fondness for analogies based on his mountain-climbing experience. Here’s an example, based on a climb to the Aiguille du Midi:

    The ridge we climbed is famously narrow, heavily trafficked, and snow-covered. For some reason everyone seems to climb it roped up. I’ve never quite approved of the practice of climbing roped when no one is tied to a solid anchor. If one person falls, it’s hard for the others to avoid being pulled off their feet. Usually I think it’s better to trust yourself and climb unroped, or else anchor and belay. But I’ll admit that I climbed the ridge roped up to my climbing partner like everyone else. My partner was a very solid climber, and the ridge isn’t really that tough.

    In retrospect, I think that roped teams climbing a narrow ridge provide a good analogy to the Higgs boson, which is one of the things LHC experimentalists hope to discover.

    The point here is that the top of the ridge is supposed to be like the unstable maximum at zero of the Higgs potential, but it seems to me that few are likely to get much real understanding out of this kind of analogy. Similarly, the chapter on GR and black holes opens with a chilling story about a fall while climbing near Aspen, but it’s hard to see how it adds much to the reader’s understanding of the subtleties of the modern understanding of gravitation.

    The book is advertised as “a non-technical account of string theory and its applications to collider physics.” The last chapter is about recent attempts to use AdS/CFT as an approximate calculational technique in heavy-ion physics. This is Gubser’s specialty, and he does a good job of giving a hype-free explanation of the state of the subject, for instance:

    The second reason why it is tricky to compare a prediction of the gauge/string duality with data is that the string theory computations apply to a theory that is only similar to QCD, not to QCD itself. The theorist has to make some translation between one and the other before he or she has a definite prediction to give an experimentalist. In other words, there’s some fudge. The best attempts to handle this translation honestly lead to predictions for the charm quark’s stopping distance that are either in approximate agreement with data, or perhaps as much as a factor of 2 smaller. A similar comparison can be made for viscosity, and the upshot is that the gauge/string duality produces a result that is either in approximate agreement with data, or perhaps a factor of 2 away from agreement.

    While giving a reasonable account of the heavy-ion collision story, the description of the relation of string theory to the much more interesting question of what happens in proton-proton collisions at the Tevatron or LHC energy frontier is actively misleading hype. What he is really describing is supersymmetry, and while he begins with the arguable:

    Supersymmetry predicts many other particles, and if they are discovered, it would be clear evidence that string theory is on the right track.

    he then goes on to claim that:

    What is exciting is that string theorists are placing their bets, along with theorists of other stripes, and holding their breaths for experimental discoveries that may vindicate or shatter their hopes…

    If it [evidence for supersymmetry] is found, many of us would take it as confirmation of superstring theory

    There’s no discussion of the issue of the supersymmetry breaking scale, or acknowledgement of the fact that string theory does not at all require this scale to be low enough for superpartners to be observable at LHC energies. The fact of the matter is that string theory makes no predictions at all about what the LHC will see, and Gubser’s claim that string theorists have some sort of LHC prediction they are betting on is just not true. There is no bet here that string theorists can possibly lose: if superpartners are found, they are likely to trumpet this as “confirmation of string theory”, but if not, they’ll fall back on the accurate statement that string theory predicted nothing about this.

    Throughout the book, Gubser is on the defensive about the issue of string theory’s lack of predictivity, invoking highly strained and dubious analogies as excuses. One chapter begins with a discussion of Roman history and its effects on our present-day culture. He then argues that our many centuries remove from this history is somehow like the way string theory makes predictions at high energies, not low energies. I don’t see the analogy (we have lots of evidence for Romans, none for strings), and in any case the problem with string theory is not that it can’t predict what happens at low energies, but that it can’t predict anything at any energy. In another chapter he compares current string theory unification models to the BCS theory of superconductivity, noting that the BCS theory doesn’t work for high-temperature superconductivity. I’m not sure what to make of this analogy, since BCS is a successful theory, string unification models aren’t. The only point of it seems to be the hope that something new will be discovered experimentally (analog of high temperature superconductivity), and some unknown version of string theory will describe it.

    Like pretty much all of his colleagues at Princeton, one thing Gubser wants nothing to do with is the multiverse and the anthropic string theory landscape. While he explains the moduli-stabilization problem, the landscape and the multiverse are not discussed, and anthropic argumentation is dismissed with:

    Altogether, I find myself unconvinced that this line of argument is useful in string theory.

    In the next posting, I’ll write about another new popular physics book, one that I think is much better and much more readable, although it takes the West Coast multiverse interpretation of string theory as gospel, ignoring the views of Gubser and his Princeton colleagues.

    Posted in Book Reviews | 7 Comments