On the Defensive

There’s another article here about Michael Green succeeding Hawking as Lucasian chair. It emphasizes the idea that this is all about more funding for string theory:

MICHAEL Green, the 18th holder of Cambridge University’s Lucasian Professorship of Mathematics, is clearly a man with weighty issues on his mind.

He apologetically darts out of our meeting to speak to a colleague about how to submit the paperwork for a 1.5 million euros (£1.35 million) grant application he has just heard has been approved by the European Union.

“I suppose it sounds like a lot of money,” he explains, “but it’s not that much really compared to the billions spent on some research. Our work is theoretical – we’re very cheap.”

The money will go towards research on Michael’s specialist subject, string theory…

“I have been thinking about how I can make use of such a prominent position to benefit my colleagues. It is difficult to find funding at the moment, especially for subjects which don’t obviously have an immediate application for something that will make money.

“But the people who discovered magnetism and electricity had no idea what they could be used for. The MRI scanner wouldn’t exist without particle physics. There are so many spin-off industrial investments in things that are being researched, and we need more of this.”

Another blogger has the following comments about this:

There’s only so far that one can run away with this. People “…who discovered magnetism and electricity…” had, in their corner, empirical evidence to at least tell them if they are on the right path or not. This is where the analogy to pursuing String Theory breaks down and the similarity ends. I don’t believe that there has been, in the history of physics, a study in a field of physics that has gone for so long, and garnered THIS much attention, that has been totally devoid of any empirical evidence which indicates one way or the other that it is on a right path. For many of us who value physics as being guided by empirical evidence, this is the most troubling aspect of String theory.

To be fair, Green notes that it’s not all about cashing in for himself and his colleagues, that he would also like to finally have some success with the science:

But, ever the academic, Michael’s eyes twinkle as he admits his “pie in the sky” dream for his tenure of the Lucasian Professorship is not about money, but a breakthrough in the application of his beloved string theory.

“We need something which at the moment doesn’t seem to be a fundamental phenomenon,” he explains. “To find something we know already, but find an undetected explanation out of string theory. It is a radically new theory; what it needs is a radical new prediction.”

I’m not sure though that describing a nearly forty year old theory as “radically new” is really accurate. Any sort of prediction would be radically new.

Also in the business of defending string theory is Sean Carroll, who has a video and transcript up on the Edge web-site on the topic of “Why does the Universe look the way it does?”. It’s unclear to me what this has to do with the topic, but for some reason much of the talk is taken up with a defense of string theory. It’s the usual misleading hype, at great length, leading up to a peculiar defense of the idea that even once you have shown that a speculative theoretical idea is vacuous and can give you anything that you want, you should keep studying it anyway:

How do you show that a theory is not right if you can get anything from it? My answer to that is we just don’t know yet. But that does not imply that we will never know.

From here it’s on to the multiverse and his idea that it explains why you can’t unscramble an egg, and that one is doing observational cosmology over breakfast:

The reason we find a direction in time here in this room or in the kitchen when you scramble an egg or mix milk into coffee is not because we live in the physical vicinity of some important object, but because we live in the aftermath of some influential event, and that event is the Big Bang. The Big Bang set all of the clocks in the world. When we go down to how we evolve, why we are born and then die, and never in the opposite order, why we remember what happened yesterday and we don’t remember what is going to happen tomorrow, all of these manifestations of the difference between the past and the future are all coming from the same source. That source is the low entropy of the Big Bang…

I like to say that observational cosmology is the cheapest possible science to go into. Every time you put milk into your coffee and watch it mix and realize that you can’t unmix that milk from your coffee, you are learning something profound about the Big Bang, about conditions in the very, very early universe. This is just a giant clue that the real universe has given to us to how the fundamental laws of physics work. We don’t yet know how to put that clue to work. We don’t know the answer to the who done it, who is the guilty party, why the universe is like that. But taking this question seriously is a huge step forward in trying to understand how the universe that we see around us directly fits into a much bigger picture.

Update: Carroll this week will be on a lecture tour in Australia giving talks on the Big Bang/egg unscrambling business. The first will be in Sydney where the “internationally-renowned theoretical physicist” will give the 2009 Templeton Lecture.

Posted in This Week's Hype | 16 Comments

A Line on String Theory

According to the Harvard Gazette, it seems that string theory predicts a very distinctive experimental signature that should be easily observable at the LHC. The claim is that string theory predicts that the LHC should produce stau particles, with a lifetime of a minute or so. I’m no experimentalist, but I’d think a charged particle with no strong interactions, a mass of many hundreds of GeV, and long-lived enough to go all the way through the detector, should stick out like a sore thumb. This might be the kind of thing you only need one of to claim discovery of a new particle, and could even be expected to show up very early after the LHC is turned on.

So, at least if you believe the Harvard Gazette, we may be only a few weeks away from having an experimental result that will settle the string theory question once and for all. Either Vafa and collaborators will be getting the 2010 (or 2011 at the worst) Nobel prize, or string theory’s prediction will have been wrong and we can say goodbye to the theory for good. Next year should be exciting…

Update: Some commenters were pessimistic that the first year LHC would produce these supposed staus at an observable rate. If I read this presentation correctly (page 54), only 40 inverse pb are needed to produce 3 events of a 200Gev stau. Maybe this model will get verified or killed during 2010. From the same conference, see Michael Peskin’s summary talk for more about what the LHC might see in 2010.

Posted in This Week's Hype | 27 Comments

Witten on J Street

The latest New York Review of Books (December 3 issue, not yet online) contains an article by Edward Witten entitled “The New J-Lobby for Peace”. It’s about J Street, an organization set up last year to lobby in Washington in favor of Middle East peace. Witten is on the organization’s advisory board. For more about his views on J Street from last year, see this article.

At the moment, he’s both hopeful that J Street will start to have an effect, and fearful that it might be too late, writing:

The rise of J Street gives strong promise that Jews with a more liberal outlook on the Israeli-Palestinian problem will now have a voice in the American political system.

The real question about J Street may be not whether it will grow but whether it is simply too late. Numerous trends, including the spread of Israeli settlements, the increase of the Palestinian population, the rise of Hamas, and growing Orthodox influence in Israel, may be putting a two-state solution out of reach.

Witten has been involved in this issue for a long time, on the board of Americans for Peace Now since 1991. It’s great to see such a prominent member of the physics/math community standing up on this issue, and encouraging that he sees something positive happening. I share his hopes for J Street, as well as his fears that it may be too late.

Sorry, but I’m not allowing comments on this posting. While I think this is a very important issue and wanted to make people aware of Witten’s article, I don’t want to host political discussions on this blog, especially on this topic.

Update: The Witten article is now available on-line here.

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In SUSY We Trust

New Scientist has an article in the latest issue entitled In SUSY we trust: What the LHC is really looking for, which promotes the idea that the LHC is going to discover supersymmetry. Only supersymmetry enthusiasts are quoted. I’d be curious to see some data on what the distribution of views of particle theorists is on this issue (one piece of evidence that supersymmetry skepticism is in the majority is here). Among bloggers, at one end of the spectrum is Sean Carroll, who gives a probability of 60%, at the other is Resonaances, with 0.1%. Personally, I’m with Resonaances, at least as far as conventional supersymmetric models go. The main arguments against supersymmetry, ignored in New Scientist, are that supersymmetry breaking is both necessary and hideously ugly, and if this was going to solve the hierarchy problem, we’d have seen evidence already at the Tevatron.

The article does a good job of recounting the pro-supersymmetry arguments (hierarchy problem, unification of couplings, dark matter candidate), but then goes completely off the rails with an absurd claim that supersymmetry explains confinement:

Supersymmetry’s scope does not end there. As Seiberg and his Princeton colleague Edward Witten have shown, the theory can also explain why quarks are never seen on their own, but are always corralled together by the strong force into larger particles such as protons and neutrons. In the standard model, there is no mathematical indication why that should be; with supersymmetry, it drops out of the equations naturally.

At least we’ll know one way or another within a few years from now…

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Simons Postdoctoral Fellowships

The Simons Foundation will be funding new postdoctoral positions at various institutions starting next fall. Details of one of these, at the University of Texas, have been announced, with more to follow in coming weeks. These are three-year postdocs, with a first-year salary of $70K/year.

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News From NSF THY

A presentation at a recent SLAC Users Group meeting included some of the following data about NSF support for HEP theory:

Theory funding (including cosmology and astro-particle physics) for FY 2008: \$11.68 million. For FY 2009, \$11.31 million + \$2.3 million from the stimulus legislation.

In FY 2008, these grants supported 128 senior personnel, 84 postdocs and 104 graduate students. For FY 2009 the numbers were 184 senior personnel, 50 postdocs and 70 graduate students.

During FY 2008, 24 out of 57 new submitted proposals were funded, 17 out 21 renewals were funded.

Group grants were categorized as 11 phenomenology, 11 strings, 2 cosmology, 1 general.

Individual grants were categorized as 17 cosmology, 12 strings, 9 phenomenology, 3 astrophysics, 2 lattice QCD, 3 general.

So, as far as NSF HEP grants go these days, if you’re not doing cosmology, string theory, or phenomenology, basically you’re out of luck…

NSF THY has a new program manager who started Oct. 1. It’s Keith Dienes of the University of Arizona, whose research in recent years has focused on the “string vacuum project”. He’ll be giving a colloquium at Fermilab next month on Probing the String Landscape, which is advertised with the abstract:

We are currently in the throes of a potentially huge paradigm shift in physics. Motivated by recent developments in string theory and the discovery of the so-called “string landscape”, physicists are beginning to question the uniqueness of fundamental theories of physics and the methods by which such theories might be understood and investigated.

Since the late eighties, the two institutions in the US most heavily invested in string theory have been Princeton and Rutgers. Recently they have been moving aggressively to try and diversify, especially in the direction of LHC phenomenology, with the hiring of Nima Arkani-Hamed at the IAS and Matt Strassler at Rutgers. Last year the two institutions collaborated on a proposal for a new Physics Frontier Center with a budget of \$1 million or so per year. This would be called the PARTICLE Center (Princeton And Rutgers Theory Institute for Collaboration with LHC Experiments) and would aim to be the main US center for LHC phenomenology. The proposal promoted the possibility of experimental anomalies to be discovered by the LHC in fall 2009, quickly followed by PARTICLE physicists inventing a model that would explain the data and predict a subtle effect that would require a new triggering strategy to see. The result of this would be a surprising measurement that would explain supersymmetry breaking.

Anyway, that proposal doesn’t appear to have been funded, with reviewers rather dubious about the idea of retraining Princeton and Rutgers string theorists as LHC phenomenologists, as well as the idea of devoting significant new resources to funding the Princeton and Rutgers theory groups, centralizing LHC phenomenology efforts there. However, two new year-long grants for \$130,000 each were awarded to Strassler and Arkani-Hamed, who promise to use them to “create the nucleus of an LHC center on the East Coast” at Princeton and Rutgers. One of the goals of these grants is listed as “to help in the process of … retraining postdocs from more formal areas of high-energy theory”, since the job market for young string theorists has more or less collapsed.

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Latest from the LHC

The latest official news from CERN about the LHC schedule that I’ve seen is this from DG Rolf Heuer, who doesn’t give specific dates other than “second half of November” for circulating beams, collisions at injection energy soon thereafter, and, if all goes well, “high-energy collisions” before Christmas. He doesn’t specify what the value of “high-energy” is.

Physics Today has this story, which has a lot more detail than available officially, including a quote described as “a statement on the CERN web-site”:

This means that 2009 will not see physics collisions, but will perhaps see collisions at energies marginally higher than that of the Tevatron…

which was picked up by the New York Times here, and reported as:

The lab now says the first collisions, before Christmas, will be even lower, due to delays in finishing a system to protect the powerful superconducting magnets from explosive failures. The initial collisions will be at 1.1 trillion electron volts per beam, just barely above the energy of the Tevatron collider now running at CERN’s rival, the Fermi National Accelerator Laboratory outside Chicago.

I can’t find that quote on any CERN site, but it and the other details of the story do seem awfully familiar.

Unofficially, what’s known about the schedule at the moment is:

Next weekend (Nov. 7-8): Second injection test. If sector 67 is ready, beam will travel through this sector (and possibly even through sector 56) as well as the two (sectors 23 and 78) tested during the first injection test.

November 20th: First attempt to circulate beams at the injection energy of 450 GeV.

Early December: Collisions at 450 GeV.

Mid-December: Ramp to 1.1 TeV, collisions at 1.1 TeV/beam.

December 16th: Stop of beam commissioning for end-of-year break.

January 4: Restart after end-of-year break. About three weeks for hardware commissioning to 6kA, 3.5 TeV/beam.

Late January: Beam commissioning at 3.5 TeV/beam.

Early February: Collisions at 3.5 TeV/beam. First physics run soon thereafter.

Update: Not sure what to make of this. At first I found this hard to believe, but there’s another story here.

Update: I guess this actually happened: here’s something from CERN.

Update: Looks like they will be able to get a beam through 4 of the LHC’s 8 sectors this weekend.

Commenter Yatima points to this at the Register. If you believe the Register (not necessarily a good idea…), CERN’s Sergio Bertolucci is promoting the idea that the LHC will open a portal to other dimensions, so:

Summarising, then, it appears that we might be in for some kind of invasion by spontaneously swelling and shrinking spherical or wheel-shaped creatures – something on the order of the huge rumbling stone ball from Indiana Jones – able to move in and out of our plane at will. Soon the cities of humanity will lie in smoking ruins, shattered by the Attack of the Teleporting Juggernaut-tyrants from the Nth Dimension.

The writer asks LHC Machine Coordinator Mike Lamont what he thinks of all this. He suggests reading Lisa Randall’s book.

Posted in Experimental HEP News | 12 Comments

Perfect Rigor

I just finished reading author Masha Gessen’s new book about Grigori Perelman, Perfect Rigor: A Genius and the Mathematical Breakthrough of the Century. It’s a short but very well done account of the life of Grigori Perelman, how he came to prove the Poincare Conjecture, and what has transpired since.

The book is really not about mathematics, but about mathematicians and their culture, especially that of Russian mathematicians. Only one chapter deals with the mathematical content of the Poincare Conjecture, with the bulk of the book about Perelman and his career. Perelman’s talent’s were recognized early, and were nurtured in Leningrad by a system designed to train students for mathematical competitions. He won a gold medal at the International Mathematical Olympiad in 1982. The institutionalized anti-Semitism of the Soviet mathematics establishment of this period is described in detail in the book, together with the intense efforts made by Perelman’s supporters (including Alexandrov) to overcome this. He did his graduate work at the most prestigious institution in Leningrad, and then went on to a research position there at the Steklov Institute.

Gessen never managed to interview Perelman himself, but did talk to many if not most of the mathematicians he interacted with. He was brought to Courant by the intervention of Gromov, and for a few years worked there, at Stony Brook and at Berkeley. By the end of this time, he had started to develop a significant reputation in the math community, but he chose to return to Steklov and pretty much dropped out of sight, communicating with very few people for several years. It was during this period that he developed his proof, finally posting what could be described as a detailed outline in a series of three papers submitted to the arXiv.

The story of what happened then is rather remarkable, but it’s a story I’m pretty familiar with since I got to watch much of it from up close (Perelman’s preprints and the question of whether he really had a proof were discussed intensively here at Columbia, where Richard Hamilton and John Morgan are among my colleagues, and quite a few other people work in this area). Gessen does a good job of telling this story, adding some details I was unaware of.

Perelman turned down the Fields medal awarded him for this work, and sadly, he seems in recent years to have cut himself off from even his closest friends in the math community. Indications are that he is no longer actively working on research mathematics. The book contains speculation from several mathematicians who know Perelman about his thought processes and the reasons for his behavior, but they remain somewhat of a mystery. Some amount of paranoia seems to be at work, together with an intense distaste for any sort of politics, even the most innocuous workings of the mathematical community and its institutions.

The last chapter of the book has some news I hadn’t heard. Last year, Jim Carlson, who runs the Clay Mathematics Institute and is responsible for the process that will determine the award of the million-dollar Millennium prize for the proof of Poincare, traveled to St. Petersburg. He talked to Perelman on the phone, but Perelman refused to meet with him. According to the book, Clay was planning on convening a committee to decide on the prize this past May, with a report planned for August. Presumably this all has already happened by now, and perhaps Carlson has already made another trip to St. Petersburg in a last attempt to see if Perelman can be convinced to accept the prize. Perhaps we will be finding out the results soon…

Update: Today’s Wall Street Journal has an article by Gessen about Russian mathematics that summarizes part of her book.

Posted in Book Reviews | 28 Comments

Short Mathematical Items

  • Riemann submitted his paper on the Riemann Hypothesis October 19, 1859, and it was read by Kummer at the meeting of the Berlin academy on November 3. AIM is organizing a celebration of the 150th birthday of the Riemann Hypothesis, with a “Riemann Hypothesis Day” on November 18th. Talks will be given on that day at many institutions around the world, a list is here.
  • The Royal Society in Britain has announced the appointment of six “Royal Society 2010 Anniversary Research Professors”. Two of them are mathematicians: Timothy Gowers, of Cambridge, and Andrew Wiles, who will be leaving Princeton to take up the position at Oxford. Wiles has this comment about his current research:

    Over the last several years my work has focused primarily on the Langlands Program a web of very influential conjectures linking number theory, algebraic geometry and the theory of automorphic forms. I am trying to develop arithmetic techniques that will, I hope, help to resolve some of the fundamental questions in this field. I am delighted to be appointed a Royal Society Research Professor in their anniversary year and I look forward to the opportunities this will give me to further my research.

  • I spent a couple days earlier this week up in New Haven, attending a conference celebrating Gregg Zuckerman’s 60th birthday. Zuckerman’s specialty is representation theory, and he’s well-known in that subject for several ideas that have been important in the modern understanding of infinite dimensional representations of semi-simple Lie groups. He also has done quite a bit of work in mathematical physics, work which includes a classic paper (Proc. Natl. Acad. Sci. U.S.A. 83 (1986), pp. 8442–8446) with his Yale collaborators Howard Garland and Igor Frenkel explaining some aspects of the BRST quantization of the string in terms of semi-infinite cohomology. As far as I know, he was the first person to study (in a 1986 paper “Action principles and global geometry”) the field theory with Chern-Simons action that Witten was to make famous two years later when he worked out its significance as a TQFT giving interesting 3-manifold and knot invariants.
  • An hour or so ago I went out for a walk, stopped at the bookstore, and noticed that there’s a new book out about Grigori Perelman, entitled Perfect Rigor. It looks worth reading, perhaps they’ll be a longer blog post about it sometime soon…
  • Posted in Uncategorized | 5 Comments

    News from HEPAP

    Last week there was a meeting of HEPAP held in Washington, presentations are available here.

    HEP has done very well recently in recent US federal government budgets, due to the stimulus and large deficit spending going on to fight the recession. The FY2010 DOE budget has been passed by Congress, and it includes $810 million for HEP (up 2% from $797 million in FY2009), and there is also $232 million in stimulus package money currently being spent on HEP. The FY2010 NSF budget has not yet made it through Congress, but the Administration request for NSF physics research is up by 9% from FY2009.

    DOE is planning to keep running the Tevatron now at least through FY 2011, since it is likely to be competitive with the LHC in the Higgs search business at least that long. The current Fermilab long-term planned run schedule is here.

    DOE will keep supporting ILC research through FY2012, but the plan to make a decision about building it at that time now seems to be off the table. The LHC will have just begun producing results, and the current estimates of the ILC cost are so high that making the case for it will be very difficult. A story in Science quotes William Brinkman, the head of DOE’s Office of Science as saying:

    With all the contingencies, you’re talking about $20 billion. In my opinion, that price pushes it way out into the future, and onto the backburner.

    Funding for new high-energy accelerators is likely to mainly be devoted to participating in any upgrade of the LHC at CERN, and the Project X/muon collider proposals at Fermilab. There will be workshops at Fermilab next month to discuss Project X and the muon collider. Brinkman in his HEPAP talk notes that the HEP community will have to come up with a compelling scientific case for these projects, which will largely revolve around an expanded neutrino program.

    There was also discussion of a report from PASAG (the Particle Astrophysics Assessment Group). For discussion of the issues surrounding proposed experiments relevant to particle astrophysics and cosmology, see stories from Eric Hand at Nature News here and here.

    Posted in Experimental HEP News | 2 Comments