{"id":899,"date":"2008-09-13T10:35:37","date_gmt":"2008-09-13T15:35:37","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/?p=899"},"modified":"2008-09-13T10:37:42","modified_gmt":"2008-09-13T15:37:42","slug":"dont-buy-into-the-supercollider-hype","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/?p=899","title":{"rendered":"Don&#8217;t Buy Into the Supercollider Hype"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Some wag at the Wall Street Journal put the headline <a href=\"http:\/\/online.wsj.com\/article\/SB122126297197130483.html\">Don&#8217;t Buy Into the Supercollider Hype<\/a> on today&#8217;s Op-Ed piece by Michio Kaku about the LHC, which describes its significance as follows:<\/p>\n<blockquote><p>The LHC might shed light on the &#8220;theory of everything,&#8221; a single theory which can explain all fundamental forces of the universe, a theory which eluded Albert Einstein for the last 30 years of his life. This is the Holy Grail of physics. Einstein hoped it would allow us to &#8220;read the Mind of God.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Today, the leading (and only) candidate for this fabled theory of everything is called &#8220;string theory,&#8221; which is what I do for for a living. Our visible universe, according to this theory, represents only the lowest vibration of tiny vibrating strings. The LHC might find something called &#8220;sparticles,&#8221; or super particles, which represent higher vibrations of the string. If so, the LHC might even verify the existence of higher dimensions of space-time, which would truly be an earth-shaking discovery.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>If I were an experimentalist or accelerator scientist working on the LHC, I might have a problem with the fact that the biggest media outlets are having theorists, often string theorists, be the ones to tell the public about the LHC (yesterday was Brian Greene&#8217;s turn, in the <a href=\"http:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2008\/09\/12\/opinion\/12greene.html\">New York Times<\/a>).  Many such stories imply that the LHC will somehow tell us something about string theory, while even one of the blogosphere&#8217;s most enthusiastic string theory supporters puts the probability of this at about <a href=\"http:\/\/cosmicvariance.com\/2008\/08\/04\/what-will-the-lhc-find\/\">half of one-percent<\/a>.<\/p>\n<p>For some hype-free LHC predictions based on serious science that I fully endorse, see <a href=\"http:\/\/resonaances.blogspot.com\/2008\/09\/what-will-lhc-discover.html\">Resonaances<\/a>, where the probability of seeing anything relevant to string theory isn&#8217;t even listed, and supersymmetry is given a one-tenth of one percent chance, on the grounds: <\/p>\n<blockquote><p>1% is a typical fine-tuning of susy models, and the additional factor of .1 is because it makes me puke.<\/p><\/blockquote>\n<p>which seems about right.  The probability of the LHC producing black holes is given as something exponentially small, somewhat less than the probability of producing dragons.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Some wag at the Wall Street Journal put the headline Don&#8217;t Buy Into the Supercollider Hype on today&#8217;s Op-Ed piece by Michio Kaku about the LHC, which describes its significance as follows: The LHC might shed light on the &#8220;theory &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/?p=899\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-899","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/899","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=899"}],"version-history":[{"count":6,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/899\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":905,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/899\/revisions\/905"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=899"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=899"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=899"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}