{"id":8839,"date":"2016-10-21T13:07:35","date_gmt":"2016-10-21T17:07:35","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/?p=8839"},"modified":"2016-11-03T14:41:21","modified_gmt":"2016-11-03T18:41:21","slug":"a-new-30-gev-particle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/?p=8839","title":{"rendered":"A New 30 GeV Particle?"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Last night a <a href=\"https:\/\/arxiv.org\/abs\/1610.06536\">preprint<\/a> appeared on the arXiv, with a re-analysis of old 1992-5 LEP data, looking at the dimuon spectrum for b-tagged (identified as involving a b-quark) events.  An excess around 30 GeV was found, which would indicate a possible new particle around that energy.  The author quotes various significance numbers for the bump, with look-elsewhere effect included, of 2.4 to 2.9 sigma.<\/p>\n<p>Thinking a bit about the look-elsewhere effect here, something very funny is going on. To properly compute the look-elsewhere effect, one really should know how many other channels the author looked at and found nothing, but there&#8217;s no mention of looking at other channels.  Why did this particular physicist decide to go and reanalyze LEP data, looking only at the b-tagged dimuon spectrum  (and it seems he&#8217;s doing this by himself)?  It&#8217;s hard to understand why anyone would do this, unless perhaps they had heard that one of the LHC experiments might be seeing something in the b-tagged dimuon spectrum, say, around 30 GeV.<\/p>\n<p>We&#8217;ll likely find out more about this story soon. If the LHC experiments haven&#8217;t been looking closely at this particular channel, they will do so now. 30 GeV is low enough that I don&#8217;t see why you would need the Run 2 13 TeV data, this should be in the older Run 1 data. <\/p>\n<p>I should make the obvious remark though:  this is an extraordinary claim, and the evidence for a new particle is very far from the extraordinary level. So, at a high confidence level, the probability is that there&#8217;s nothing there.<\/p>\n<p>For much more about this, <a href=\"http:\/\/www.science20.com\/a_quantum_diaries_survivor\/a_dimuon_particle_at_30_gev_in_aleph-180555\">Tommaso Dorigo<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/profmattstrassler.com\/2016\/10\/21\/hiding-from-a-nightmare\">Matt Strassler<\/a> have just put out blog postings.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Update<\/strong>: Tommaso has an <a href=\"http:\/\/www.science20.com\/a_quantum_diaries_survivor\/a_dimuon_particle_at_30_gev_in_aleph-180555\">update<\/a> with  more about this: the author was not a member of ALEPH and that collboration does not support this but thinks this is bogus.  It appears that the signal is spurious, with the muons coming from semileptonic b decays, not a new particle.  Still a mystery: why was this physicist looking at this old data for one very specific signal?<\/p>\n<p><strong>Update<\/strong>:  The talk today by Nate Odell of CMS at the <a href=\"http:\/\/lpc.fnal.gov\/programs\/lpcpf\/index.shtml\">LPC Physics Forum<\/a> at Fermilab is not public, but the title is: &#8220;Dimuon 29 GeV analysis&#8221;.  Any guess whether that has something to do with this story about 30 GeV dimuons?<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Last night a preprint appeared on the arXiv, with a re-analysis of old 1992-5 LEP data, looking at the dimuon spectrum for b-tagged (identified as involving a b-quark) events. An excess around 30 GeV was found, which would indicate a &hellip; <a href=\"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/?p=8839\">Continue reading <span class=\"meta-nav\">&rarr;<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jetpack_post_was_ever_published":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_access":"","_jetpack_dont_email_post_to_subs":false,"_jetpack_newsletter_tier_id":0,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paywalled_content":false,"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":""},"categories":[9],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-8839","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-experimental-hep-news"],"jetpack_featured_media_url":"","jetpack_sharing_enabled":true,"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8839","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=8839"}],"version-history":[{"count":5,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8839\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":8904,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/8839\/revisions\/8904"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=8839"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=8839"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.math.columbia.edu\/~woit\/wordpress\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=8839"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}